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Crown Green Handicap

Adrian Mantle

Team: Oxton Conservative ClubDivision: League 2Last updated: 9/29/2026

Rating

819

Current Handicap

10
Honours
Season:

19

Matches Played

8

Wins

11

Losses

42%

Win Rate

5.6

Avg Win Margin

8.1

Avg Loss Margin

5-3

Home Record

3-8

Away Record

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player2/10

Season Highlights

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 19 matches

+10 Rising
27 Jun1 May29 May12 Jun3 Jul24 Jul14 Aug-13714
Started0
Lowest0
Current10
Win Percentage(40%)
42%
score-0.16→contribution-0.06
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
5.6
score-0.40→contribution-0.10
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.1
score-0.02→contribution-0.00
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
42%
score-0.16→contribution-0.02
Opponent Strength(10%)
808
score-0.38→contribution-0.04
Weighted Score-0.218
Sample Size Confidence
6%(19/75 matches)
Rating891 → shrunk 993→ adjusted 843
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)806
Recency Blend25% (19 recent matches)
Final Blended Rating834
Handicap10

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by a confidence factor (matches ÷ 75), so players with few games don't get extreme handicaps. Recency blend: the shrunk all-time rating is blended with a separate rating from the seasons selected in Handicap Calculation Years (currently 2024, 2025, 2026), weighted up to 40% based on recent match volume (30+ matches = full 40%). Players with no recent matches keep their all-time rating unchanged. Rating is mapped to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger).

League

8W11L19 matches·42.1% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Oxton Conservative Club2025–2026League 21981142.1%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/14/2026Terry ScottH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 2
8/7/2026Colin DraperA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 2
7/31/2026Les RaynorH20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 2
7/24/2026Tommy JamesA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 2
7/17/2026Rob SmithH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 2
7/10/2026Bob HodgsonA5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 2
7/3/2026Mal EvansH12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 2
6/26/2026Paul SmithA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 2
6/22/2026Albert FordH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 2
6/12/2026David RedshawA21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 2
6/8/2026Howard FernH21-5WIN+16LeagueLeague 2
6/5/2026Michael DabbsA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 2
5/29/2026Chris BarlowA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 2
5/15/2026Peter HolianA19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 2
5/8/2026Scott HuxleyA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 2
5/1/2026Scott HuxleyH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 2
4/24/2026Kelly HayesA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 2
4/20/2026Rita PlattH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 2
6/27/2025Charlie WardA0-21LOSS-21LeagueLeague 2
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl2 games · 1W
20262 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundGwyneth LomaxGreat Meols21-11WINWON
Round of 16 RoundDarren HallHoylake Central & Melrose B7-21LOSSLOST
Doctor Dawson Victory Cup1 games · 0W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundJohn LloydWest Kirby Victoria6-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

2wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

3

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

4

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
WWLLW
Last 1040% win rate↑ improving
WWLLWLLLLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Scott Huxley11250%5/8/2026
Terry Scott101100%8/14/2026
Colin Draper101100%8/7/2026
Les Raynor0110%7/31/2026
Tommy James0110%7/24/2026
Rob Smith101100%7/17/2026
Bob Hodgson0110%7/10/2026
Mal Evans0110%7/3/2026
Paul Smith0110%6/26/2026
Albert Ford0110%6/22/2026
Biggest Win
Howard Fern (+16)6/8/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Charlie Ward (-21)6/27/2025
Best Season
202644% · 18 matches
Worst Season
202644% · 18 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
44% → 40%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
80819 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-10% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
8-1044% win rate
League 242.1%
8W·11L·19 played

Debut

Jun 27, 2025

Latest

Aug 14, 2026

Seasons Active

2 (1.1 yr span)

Matches / Season

9.5 (19 total)

Seasons

20252026